winner’s share of issuer’s contracts - Details

Identifier	Identifier 64
State	State Active
Autonomy	Autonomy Element of composite index
Description	Description This numeric redflag-component is part of an index (CRI) that indicates risk of grand corruption. This redflag is a ratio between 12-month total contract value of winner / 12-month total awarded contract value (by issuer); which is an outcome indicator measuring the public procurement corruption process as a whole. Winner’s share of issuer’s contracts indicates the likelihood of large-scale institutionalized corruption. Input indicators of the model, correlate with this output.
Country	Country Hungary
Language	Language Hungarian
Link to project	Link to project http://tendertracking.eu/about
Developer	Developer Corruption Research Center Budapest
Programming language	Programming language
Development date	Development date
Link to source code	Link to source code N/A
Where to extract data from	Where to extract data from CRCB uses its own dataset for the index (partially available at tendertracking.eu). Data contains of public procurement procedures conducted under Hungarian Public Procurement. Variables appear in 1) calls for tenders; 2) contract award notices; 3) contract modification notices; 4) contract completion announcements; 5) administrative corrections notices.
Process phase	Process phase AWARD
Validation	Validation Validated
Validation method	Validation method the indicator is partially validated. the developers only set forth possible ways of validation of CRI, but according to their own assessment, it takes several years to validate the aforementioned indicators on a whole scale. These elementary validation routes, however, are important as follows: 1. analysis of cross-sectional and time-series distribution of CRI 2. relationship between the amount of spending not reported in the PP database and CRI on the organisational level 3. analysis of profitability and turnover growth of winning firms with different CRI 4. political control of winning companies is collated with their CRI 5. comparison of average CRI of "crony companies" with those whose success is largely unaffected by government change.
Tags	Tags algorithmic numeric indicator output indicator

Identifier

Identifier
64

State

State
Active

Autonomy

Autonomy
Element of composite index

Description

Description
This numeric redflag-component is part of an index (CRI) that indicates risk of grand corruption. This redflag is a ratio between 12-month total contract value of winner / 12-month total awarded contract value (by issuer); which is an outcome indicator measuring the public procurement corruption process as a whole. Winner’s share of issuer’s contracts indicates the likelihood of large-scale institutionalized corruption. Input indicators of the model, correlate with this output.

Country

Country
Hungary

Language

Language
Hungarian

Link to project

Link to project
http://tendertracking.eu/about

Developer

Developer
Corruption Research Center Budapest

Programming language

Programming language

Development date

Development date

Link to source code

Link to source code
N/A

Where to extract data from

Where to extract data from
CRCB uses its own dataset for the index (partially available at tendertracking.eu). Data contains of public procurement procedures conducted under Hungarian Public Procurement. Variables appear in 1) calls for tenders; 2) contract award notices; 3) contract modification notices; 4) contract completion announcements; 5) administrative corrections notices.

Process phase

Process phase
AWARD

Validation

Validation
Validated

Validation method

Validation method
the indicator is partially validated. the developers only set forth possible ways of validation of CRI, but according to their own assessment, it takes several years to validate the aforementioned indicators on a whole scale. These elementary validation routes, however, are important as follows:
1. analysis of cross-sectional and time-series distribution of CRI
2. relationship between the amount of spending not reported in the PP database and CRI on the organisational level
3. analysis of profitability and turnover growth of winning firms with different CRI
4. political control of winning companies is collated with their CRI
5. comparison of average CRI of "crony companies" with those whose success is largely unaffected by government change.

Indicators / winner’s share of issuer’s contracts

Indicators /
winner’s share of issuer’s contracts